11/26/2008 - Bordeaux, France (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alou Diarra's header with seven minutes to play helped Bordeaux claim a valuable 1-1 draw with Chelsea on Wednesday in Champions League Group A play.
The goal canceled out Nicolas Anelka's opener on the hour mark and dropped Chelsea into second place in the group, one point behind Roma, which downed CFR Cluj 3-1 behind two goals from Matteo Brighi.
Bordeaux is now only one point back of Chelsea and two behind Roma, and the French side will visit the Italian capital on Matchday 6 with a chance to move into the knockout round with a win.
The home side was on top throughout the first half and only the brilliant play of goalkeeper Petr Cech kept Chelsea on level terms.
Fernando Menegazzo forced a good diving stop from Cech in the opening 10 minutes as his long-range drive was tipped around the post.
Chelsea looked a step slow on the day, but the visitors went in front in the second half as Frank Lampard cut out a pass from Diarra in the midfield and clipped it into the path of Anelka, who dashed into the box and beat the goalkeeper.
It was Chelsea's first real chance of the match, but it would also be the last time the London side got a good look at goal.
Bordeaux continued to press the action, and with seven minutes to play, a corner kick provided the hosts with the equalizer.
The cross was curled into the box at the near post and the Chelsea defense did a terrible job of marking, allowing Diarra a free header that skimmed off the post and into the back of the net.
Two minutes later Lampard was sent off with his second yellow card, putting Chelsea back on its heels over the final five minutes.
Inter Milan failed to secure a place in the knockout round as the Nerazzuri slumped to a disappointing 1-0 loss at home against Panathinaikos. The Greek side got a goal from Josu Sarriegi in the 69th minute to earn the win, which leaves them in second place, only one point back of Inter. Anorthosis could have pulled level with the Italian champions but they yielded two goals over the final 18 minutes to Werder Bremen after building a 2-0 lead, leaving Anorthosis in third, a point back of Panathinaikos.
Barcelona clinched the top spot in Group C with a comfortable 5-2 win over second-place Sporting, which also has locked up a spot in the second round. Shakhtar Donetsk will be headed to the UEFA Cup after Jadson scored three times in a 5-0 trouncing of Basel.
Both Liverpool and Atletico Madrid secured second-round berths with one-goal wins over Marseille and PSV Eindhoven respectively. Steven Gerrard scored his fifth goal in Champions League play in Liverpool's 1-0 win, while Atletico went ahead by two goals inside of 30 minutes and held off the Dutch club to move level on 11 points with Liverpool.
<< Tasty Battle of NFL Birds Featured on Thanksgiving Night
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The mood could turn celebratory at Lincoln Financial Field
on Thursday night, though that celebration might have less to do with
Philadelphia Eagles fans enjoying their Thanksgiving holiday than with the
Arizona Cardinals rej
<< Cowboys' Romo Seeking Measure of Revenge vs. Seahawks
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - As fans at Texas Stadium celebrate the Thanksgiving holiday
by watching their Cowboys play host to the Seattle Seahawks, Dallas
quarterback Tony Romo will be busy trying to exorcise a demon.
The last time Romo faced the Se
<< Titans Seek to Extend Misery for Winless Lions
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - An optimistic Lions fan might look at Thursday's game
against the Tennessee Titans as an opportunity for the team to earn its
initial triumph of the 2008 season before a network-television audience.
A pessimistic Detroit s
<< JJ's three-peat, economic woes among 2008 highlights, lowlights
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - At the season-ending Sprint Cup Series
awards banquet next week in New York City, Jimmie Johnson will be honored for
his record-tying third consecutive championship. Johnson, who finished the
season 69 points
Around FCS: Behind the scenes in Indianapolis >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When I wandered over to Monmouth, N.J. on
a rainy September afternoon, little did I know I would be watching a team that
would be playing in the NCAA playoffs in November.
Trailing 17-14 with 2:49 remainin
Report: Bears CB Vasher out with fractured hand >>
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chicago Bears cornerback Nathan Vasher will
reportedly miss at least Sunday's game with the Minnesota Vikings with a
fractured right hand and an injured right wrist.
According to the Chicago Tribune
Capitals' Clark, Schultz out with injuries >>
Arlington, VA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Washington Capitals forward Chris Clark will
be out at least three weeks with a stress fracture in his forearm, while
defenseman Jeff Schultz is out four-to-six weeks with a broken finger, the
team an
Rams' Bulger, Jackson limited in practice >>
St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - St. Louis Rams quarterback Marc Bulger and
running back Steven Jackson were each limited in practice Wednesday as the two
offensive stars try to recover from injuries in time for Sunday's game against
Miami.
Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa
Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.
Should be in:
Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?
Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.
Work left to do:
Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.
Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.
Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.
Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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